Impuls
A daily research digest that hunts for US stocks entering strong trends — and tells you the honest odds.
Informational research only — not investment advice. Impuls does not trade, does not place orders,
and never recommends buying or selling any security. All figures below are historical frequencies from our
own validation on 2018–2026 data; they describe the past, not promises about any particular stock.
What Impuls does
Every trading day, Impuls scores ~1,000 liquid US stocks on momentum, trend structure, and volume, and emails
a digest of the top ~100 — with special focus on “newcomers”: stocks just entering a strong trend.
It is a candidate-discovery net. You do the picking; Impuls narrows the field and gives honest context.
The odds, measured
Per flagged stock, priced at the next morning’s open. “Random stock” = same liquidity, chosen at random on the same day.
| Outcome | Within 3 years | Within 5 years | Random stock (3y) | Edge |
|---|
| Doubles (x2) | 40% | ~48% | 24% | 1.7x |
| Triples (x3) | 21% | 30% | 8% | 2.6x |
| 5x | 7.4% | 12% | 2.1% | 3.5x |
| 10x | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 5.7x |
Measured against the S&P 500 — a harder, cleaner bar — about 30% of flagged names double the index
over 3 years and 13% triple it. The edge grows with the size of the win: the system is best at exactly
one thing — making rare big winners several times more likely to be on your screen.
The honest price of those odds:
- The median flagged stock underperforms the market. Roughly half of all names (52%) are “dead money” — three years later, no double and behind the S&P 500.
- Buying the whole list does not work. An equal-weight portfolio of the full list returned +34% over 8.6 years; the S&P 500 returned +168%. The value lives in the tail, reached only through selection and patience.
- Winners hurt before they pay. The median eventual 10x took ~3 years and fell −57% from a peak along the way; 65% dropped 50%+. A mental “−30% and I’m out” rule historically ejected investors from most big winners.
- What happens after a pullback is informative. Among stocks that doubled and then fell 20%+: those that regained at least half the drop within a quarter went on to 5x about half the time; those still falling after a 50%+ drop — only ~7% of the time. (Historical frequencies, not signals.)
- Results are regime-dependent. Signals from 2018–2020 vintages produced ~7x more 10x winners than signals from the 2021 market top.
Bottom line
Impuls will not beat the index for you, and most of its candidates go nowhere. What it demonstrably
does is concentrate the hunting ground: a picked name is ~2.6x more likely to triple within 3 years — and
~6x more likely to become a 10x — than a comparable stock chosen at random. Realistic expectation at a few
picks per month: one mature 10x per ~4 years, funded by patience through deep drawdowns and a lot of dead money.
Nothing in the digest is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.